Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. [38] Lee filed to run for Senate in early February 2023 and formally announced her campaign later that month. [7] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only one senator (Republican Susan Collins of Maine in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[8]. [32], In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's re-election decision still up in the air, Democratic U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced she would run for Senate. Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing . -moz-columns: 1; [28] However, due to his role in a worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, Scott is seen as potentially vulnerable to a primary challenge. We will add to this as more forecasts become available. Read the analysis >. [48], Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was re-elected in 2018 with 54.1% of the vote. This map reflects the current 2024 Senate ratings from Inside Elections. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? Filed under 2024 Election. [145][142], Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. Former Federal Election Commission chair Ann Ravel predicted that the race would turn out to be one of, if not the most expensive Senate race in history. "She is . Democratic Sen. Ben Cardin of Maryland is expected to announce his retirement after serving three terms, opening a rare vacancy in the Senate ahead of the 2024 election. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. One Republican, Mike Braun, and three Democrats, Debbie Stabenow, Dianne Feinstein, and Ben Cardin have announced their plans for retirement. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. Here's where the Senate map stands 18 months before Election Day 2024. Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin. [41], Marine Veteran Lucas Kunce, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic nomination in 2022, has announced he is running again. California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing candidates . Democrats will have to defend 23 Senate seats, including in . 1. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for re-election. Former U.S. [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. columns: 1; [2][3] A third, Barbara Lee of Oakland, declared her campaign on February 21. [140][141], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. Heinrich is running for a third term. announced that he would be running for Senate in 2024 with the hopes of making it through a Republican primary to challenge Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.. The initial 2024 Senate ratings from Split Ticket. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. But candidate strength is unsettled", "Taylor Robson considering U.S. Senate run in 2024", https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/10/politics/senate-republicans-primary-challenges-trump/index.html, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/arizona-sheriff-mark-lamb-running-for-us-senate-seat-held-by-sinema/ar-AA19JaMi, https://morningconsult.com/2022/01/31/doug-ducey-mark-kelly-kyrsten-sinema-approval-rating-arizona/, "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", https://ustimespost.com/gop-attorney-eric-early-announces-senate-campaign/, https://www.oc-breeze.com/2022/05/16/213250_long-beach-rwf-to-welcome-future-senate-candidate-denice-gary-pandol-to-june-11-breakfast-meeting/, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/443/202211149546774443/202211149546774443.pdf, https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/840/202207189522175840/202207189522175840.pdf, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", "Five Democrats who may retire ahead of 2024 Senate elections as GOP seeks control", "Old Bay melee: Maryland Dems circle as Cardin weighs reelection", "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", "Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year", "Murphy leaves Congress as bipartisan dealmaker. . Three United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early): !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r. During this presidential election year, the President of the United States and Vice President will be elected. Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of West Virginia.Incumbent Senator Joe Manchin was first elected in a 2010 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Robert Byrd, who died in office.He won his first full term in a landslide in 2012 and was narrowly re . What an amazing inspirational day of promise and charge to take our seat in the US Senate. Secretary of State Frank LaRose and U.S. Representative Warren Davidson[132] are also considered possible Republican candidates. Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). Former Governor Doug Ducey stated that he's unlikely to run. He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. Hirono is running for a third term. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents - POLITICO Of the 33 Senate seats up for election next term, 23 are held by Democrats. 0. (I-Vt.) said it was too early to talk about whether he might run for reelection. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. Additionally, Kyrsten Sinema's first term is ending in Arizona, a state that Biden won by less than a quarter of a point in 2020; before the end of the 117th Congress, Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent, and it is currently unclear whether national Democrats will support her re-election campaign, if she chooses to run, or back a Democrat. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. Schwarzenegger is a Republican, but media speculated that he might run as an independent candidate. Am I undecided? The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. And will they try again. 1. [139] Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former San Antonio Mayor Julin Castro, U.S. Representative Colin Allred, state Senator Roland Gutierrez, and state Representative James Talarico are also considered possible Democratic candidates. The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. | And the people of Delaware have been kind enough to elect me statewide 14 times and when I travel around the state, the support and encouragement I receive is frankly unparalleled with anything Ive heard in all the years Ive been doing this. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in New York will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New York. [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. [45], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. 2024 United States Senate election in California. No candidates. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. Then-President Trump won the state by a whopping 39. } [40] However, in February 2023, she finally confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years. Should he run, Romney has the endorsement of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. Apr.18-19. Representatives Matt Rosendale and Ryan Zinke have expressed interest in challenging Tester. And this is not the place for that announcement. West Virginia. Copy Code. [146] Governor Glenn Youngkin, who will be term-limited in 2025, is considered a possible Republican candidate. All Rights Reserved. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. The 2024 United States Senate election in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of California. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. No. Two-term Democrat Chris Murphy was re-elected in 2018 with 59.5% of the vote. [42][44], Schiff began 2023 with $20.6 million in his campaign account compared to $7.7 million for Porter and just under $55,000 for Lee. Tom Williams/AP Photos, I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. She is running for a fourth term. [26], Potential Republican challengers include lawyer and 2022 House nominee April Becker, businessman and 2022 Senate candidate Sam Brown, state Senate Minority Leader Heidi Gansert, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. [105], Former Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. [133], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. [3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a . Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. [39], One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. A fter a 2022 Senate election that had Republicans defending more seats, Democrats will be on the defense for 23 of the 34 seats up for election in 2024.. Of the seats open in the next cycle . I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. Casey announced that he is running for a fourth term. Democratic total includes 3 Independents who, 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona, List of United States senators from Arizona, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2024 United States Senate election in California, List of United States senators from California, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut, List of United States senators from Connecticut, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2024 United States Senate election in Delaware, List of United States senators from Delaware, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware, 2024 United States Senate election in Florida, List of United States senators from Florida, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, 2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii, List of United States senators from Hawaii, 2024 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elections in Rhode Island, 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee, List of United States senators from Tennessee, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2024 United States Senate election in Texas, List of United States senators from Texas, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas, U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, 2024 United States Senate election in Utah, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont, List of United States senators from Vermont, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont, 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia, List of United States senators from Virginia, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2024 United States Senate election in Washington, List of United States senators from Washington, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2024 United 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Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024", "Sen. Feinstein makes it official: She will retire at the end of her current term", "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents", "Kyrsten Sinema leaves Democratic Party, adding drama to tight Senate margin", "Georgia's Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle", "2016 State PVI Changes Decision Desk HQ", https://www.baltimoresun.com/politics/bs-md-pol-cardin-2024-20230501-6o4r3dufcjbl3o26iv4ze6drju-story.html, "Former Nebraska Gov.
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